Book Review: The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine (New June Issue)

By Jerry Levine

Today’s Machining World Archives June 2010 Volume 06 Issue 05

We all know the 2008 stock market collapse had something to do with sub-prime mortgages and credit default swaps (CDS), and that AIG and Goldman Sachs received billions of bailout dollars. But how it all happened remains a mystery to most of us.

In his new best seller, The Big Short, Michael Lewisattempts to clear up the confusion by following three savvy hedge fund investors who saw the crisis coming and placed bets on the market’s collapse. Big investment firms had packaged high-risk loans into securities that could be traded and persuaded the rating agencies to give them low-risk AAA ratings. These hedge fund investors saw through the sham and made fortunes on their bets against a market so complex and obscure that almost no one on Wall Street understood it. The following are a few explanations to make sense of the 2008 debacle.

What are sub-prime mortgages?
Sub-prime mortgages are home mortgages, sometimes very large, given to people who can’t afford them. These mortgages require little or no money down, have a low “teaser” interest rate for the first two or three years and then adjust.

What is a consolidated debt obligation(CDO)?
Originally, it was a consolidated group of corporate or municipal bonds that could be easily rated. It functioned like a fantasy football league, mimicking the real market, and was traded among the players. Like the commodities futures markets, its volume could be multiplied hundreds of times larger than the real market as long as there were traders to take both sides of the buy/sell arrangement and settle up their bet. One could also buy insurance, a credit default swap (CDS), on these bets.

What is a CDS and what is it used for?
Originally a CDS was an insurance policy that one could purchase to insure against a bond failing. The risk of a AAA corporate bond or a whole group of them in a CDO failing is very low and the insurance was very cheap. However, as the situation developed the insurance covered CDOs filled with poor risks such as sub-prime mortgages, auto loans and credit card debt, yet the rating agencies continued to rate them AAA.

Why did the rating agencies (Standard and Poors, Moodys) do this?
The rating agencies had a huge conflict of interest. Not only did they have no model to rate the creditworthiness of a home mortgage, they took advice from firms like Goldman Sachs, who were creating and selling them. They also did this because they wanted other more lucrative Goldman Sachs business.

What did the hedge fund operators who bet against the sub-primes see?
As early as 2004, a few small hedge fund operators realized that many CDOs were soup bones masquerading as T-bones. They realized that the sub-prime ARMs
would readjust heavily in 2007, causing a huge number of foreclosures and the house of cards to collapse. Amazingly, it didn’t. Mortgages failed and foreclosures
skyrocketed, but the CDO and synthetic CDO markets remained stable. To cash in, the hedge fund operators needed the market to crash.

The final worrisome question is—could it happen again?
Sadly, it’s almost a surety. A new term, “A Minsky Moment” was coined following this debacle. Hyman Minsky, a relatively unknown counter-culture economist, wrote 25 years ago that by its nature capitalism is unstable and unfair. Some innovative trader will at some point create a new high-reward, high-risk instrument to captivate the market’s collective greed until the bubble bursts. Many Wall Street firms and banks are deemed “too big to fail.” The Fed will always bail them out, so Wall Street gets the upside reward while taxpayers cover the downside risk.

Forum: Life Choices (New June Issue)

Today’s Machining World Archives June 2010 Volume 06 Issue 05

Life Choices
I often wonder why I’ve spent all these years making parts. Did I just think it was necessary to follow in my father’s footsteps? Do I honestly really enjoy coming to work each day and facing the constant dilemmas put forth by this industry? I wonder each day if I had gone into another field of endeavor, would I have been happier? Perhaps I’m just tired and would rather retire to my boat. Then again, I’d probably miss breathing in the fumes from toxic materials and solvents, the constant hum of the compressor, the beat of the machines, the finished product and all the frustration of dealing with people in general. So to coin a phrase, I guess we’re just “gluttons for punishment.”

Chuck DeLong
Eastmar, Inc.

Being the Boss
Responses to Lloyd Graff’s “Swarf” on page 14 of the May issue about Brian Capece, who questioned his choice to be a shop owner instead of an employee. Not that doing so is easy, but if a business fails the employees go find a new job. What they may not realize is the owner of that failed business probably lost his life’s savings, possibly his house and perhaps his marriage. But at least some of
the world’s problems were solved with all the taxes extracted from this evil greedy individual who had the audacity to try to operate a business!

Jim Whitney

I have been in the industrial machine shop business for27 years, and would absolutely not trade it to work for any company. I feel that a business owner has many more tools to get tax deductions than a person working for a W2. I have had eight to 11 machinists through the years and been able to keep them mostly busy. I haven’t worked in the shop myself for 20 years, so that is always a fall back position. I would tell Brian to stick with it, he will be better off in the long run.

Pete Goebel

Years ago I heard someone say, the people that own a business are the ones who don’t know enough to not own a business, and I thought there may be some truth in that. I think these tough years have taught me to admire those with the guts to take it on. Win or lose, there must be a sense of satisfaction and pride knowing you provided jobs for others, paid more than your debt to help society and had the audacity to take an idea and make it happen. Cheers to the entrepreneurs!

Brian “Dwight” Hoff

You can make a small fortune in the machine shop business-if you start with a large one. It is not what it was 10 or 20 years ago, and it’s getting tougher every year. I have been a small shop owner (mostly just myself) for over 28 years, and it now seems that I made the wrong decision. The USA is no longer manufacturing friendly, and taxes, utilities and regulations have a chokehold on all small manufacturers. As a small business (typical job shop with a focus on production turning 1” and under) in upstate N.Y., I am seeing many job and fab shops close and many local customers close or shrink in size, which is scary. The ones that are left are now on net 60, 75 or 90-day payment terms, but I cannot wait three months to get paid. How long can this continue?

Dan K.

More than One Way
I know this is no big deal—just thought I would throw it out there. I believe there is more than one correct answer for the Missing Numbers puzzle in the May issue. I did not send in my answer, but I work out the puzzles all the time. When I saw the answer to “Who found their numbers?” I was surprised that I had it wrong. So, I checked and re-checked. I only mention this as there may have been submitted answers that were correct and did not receive recognition. I’m in manufacturing engineering, and part of my job is to verify everything the engineering dept. throws over the fence. I guess this carries over into other aspects of my life.

John Adamission
Bird Electronic Corp.

Editor’s Note: The Room Service Soda (New June Issue)

Today’s Machining World Archives  June 2010 Volume 06 Issue 05

I know I’m supposed to celebrate milestone events. I have a lot to celebrate—a 40th wedding anniversary (see “Afterthought”), the marriage of my son Ari, almost two years of life since my quadruple bypass surgery and the 10th anniversary of this magazine.

I feel enormously grateful for all of these gifts and I count my blessings every day, but celebration is something I have not quite mastered.

In an earlier issue I recounted a story that my father Leonard told me as a kid, but I’ll retell it now. He was just starting out in the used machinery business and was travelling the Midwest with his partner, Uncle Abe. Abe was a fat, garrulous guy who didn’t know a mill from a lathe, but he gave my dad confidence and kept him smiling. My father was focused on the prize and Abe was focused on how he was going to spend it.

One day they arrived in Kalamazoo, bought rolls of dimes, commandeered the yellow pages and phones at a downtown hotel and starting calling local machine shops. They found a fellow who had a Becker milling machine for sale and immediately drove out to inspect it. They bought it on the spot for $500. This was 1942, World War II was on and machine tools were turning into gold. After buying the Becker they returned to the hotel and my dad called Adams Machinery in Chicago. He offered the machine to Eli Blumberg for $5000.

Blumberg countered at $4000 and they settled on $4500, subject to inspection. My father and Abe felt like millionaires. This was a deal to paint the town for, but they were stuck in Kalamazoo. Abe had the answer.

“Len, we’re going up to the room to order two ice cream sodas on room service in the middle of the day.” And they did. They must have been wonderful because my dad told me this story many times. I never tired of listening to it.

My brother Jim and I have shared occasional ice cream sodas along the way, but I doubt they tasted quite as splendid as those Kalamazoo black and whites.

I have worked on my celebration piece for decades, but it doesn’t come naturally for me.

In the Yiddish language we have an expression “Kinahora,” which means roughly, “if you think things are good, wait a minute and they’ll turn sour.” I’ve always had a bit of a “Kinahora complex” and I’m bloody tired of it.

This September I’m buying black and whites at IMTS for anybody who’d like to celebrate with me for 10 years of Today’s Machining World and two years of life after heart surgery.

To the black and white ice cream soda.

Lloyd Graff
Editor/Owner

Shop Doc: Micro Beginnings

Dear Shop Doc,

I have recently been asked if my shop does “micro” machining. I’ve done some work on small
parts recently, but I’m not exactly sure what is meant by “micro.” Any thoughts?

Small Beginnings

Dear Small Beginnings,


One of the problems with the term “micro” is that it is often used to defne a very small portion of a wide array of categories. Maybe you’ve been to a microbrewery or have a computer that uses a microprocessor. In each case, the prefx or adjective “micro” defnes a small-scale or very small feature of the original term. To date, the term is loosely used in machining to refer either to the exact measurement of the parts, such as in microns, or to a small range of work, in the neighborhood of 1 mm or less.

In May 2010, I posed a similar question to exhibitors and attendees at MM Live—the Micro and Precision Manufacturing Event for North America, in Cincinnati, Ohio. As an exhibitor myself, I thought micro meant sizes under .050”, as this was the smallest tool in our catalog and very near to the 1 mm dimension. I often referred to parts from this diameter up to .500” diameter as Swiss, so everything smaller I considered micro. A large number of attendees defned micro as being smaller than a certain dimension.

Some said micro meant parts smaller than 8 mm or .250”, or 1 mm. Kyocera’s booth advertised a .250” dimension on their sign. However, when I asked them about it, they explained that although they make a wide variety of small tools, the ones they considered to be micro sized were really those .125” or smaller.

Photo from JMMedical

A few attendees believed the term “micro” referred to parts that were smaller than the human eye can see. The MM Live show had a wide of variety of these parts on display, and it seemed that every other booth had a microscope or magnifer of some type to help you see their wares. One of the most intriguing answers to defne micro came from an exhibitor at Makuta Technics Inc. He said they use the term micro not to refer to a part’s size, but more exclusively to the feature’s size. You may have a part not considered to be a micro machined part, but if the features and tolerances are small enough, it may require what is commonly known as micro machining. This can lead to a lengthy discussion about tolerance, and if a part with +/-.001” variance can be classifed the same as a part with +/-.000010”.

I believe micro machining refers to parts with an overall size or feature in the neighborhood of 1 mm. The features are not as large as common Swiss machined parts, nor as small as a nanometer (one billionth of a meter), but you will still need some form of glasses to make out the details. My suggestion is to not split hairs, but just state the size of the features you are comfortable making. The number of people who agree on the defnition of the term “micro” is very small.

Peter Bagwell
Slater Tools Inc.

Peter Bagwell is an engineer at Slater Tools Inc. in Clinton Township, Mich., which specializes in rotary broaching tools.

Manufacturing Muscle : The U.S. Boom in Fitness Equipment

By Mary Ethridge

Today’s Machining World Archives March 2008 Volume 04 Issue 03

Machining Muscle

Second to man’s search for the meaning of the universe may just be our quest for a beautiful body in which to navigate it. At least one would think so from hearing the siren song of infomercials promising mastery of every imaginable body part for fve easy payments of $29.99. Stroll the strip malls and city streets of America and take note of the workout centers popping up as quickly as extra pounds over the holidays. The number of fitness gyms, led by specialty chains such as Curves International, increased by about fve percent in 2006, the latest industry statistics show. Their memberships rose nearly 34 percent from 2001-2006 to nearly 43 million.

While the success rate for members trying to shape up might vary widely, the literal nuts and bolts of the fitness movement – its equipment manufacturers and their suppliers – are already well conditioned and in the race.

“The growth of the fitness industry has been a big plus for the companies that make fitness gear as well as the companies that supply the necessary parts for these machines. As more and more Americans put fitness and exercise at the center of their lives, the industry will continue to blossom on all levels,” said Mike May, spokesman for the Sporting Goods Manufacturers Association, a trade group based in Jupiter, Fla. “In short, it’s definitely a good time to be in the fitness equipment business.”

During the 1990s, industry growth was somewhat fat as companies reckoned with the overbuilding of the 1980s, May said. But as greater numbers of Baby Boomers armed themselves against aging by embracing exercise, the industry picked up again after the turn of the millennium.

Suppliers: Along For A Fast Ride
May is paid to sound optimistic, but he’s right on this one. Consider that all these new health clubs must be equipped with machines alluring enough to convince us to shed our money and street clothes. The old gyms must keep pace or die, he said. And the home exerciser, perhaps having been exposed to commercial equipment in gyms at work or school, is looking for more and more for comparable gear for the workout room, industry trends show.

Indeed, sales of U.S. fitness equipment manufacturers reached about $4.7 billion in 2006, experts say, a nearly 12 percent rise from 2004. The market is closer to $7 billion when U.S. parts suppliers are considered. And there are many. Even a simple treadmill has dozens of parts, ranging from electronics and rollers to blow-molded cup holders and extruded aluminum frames. No manufacturer does it all.

“Oh, we’ve studied it all. For instance, we learned just enough about injection molding to know we didn’t want to get into it,” said Jon Williams, a product development engineer at Concept2 Inc., a rowing machine company based in Morrisville, Vermont. “We depend on someone else for that.”

As a rule, companies consider supplier names proprietary information, but it’s easy enough to see fitness equipment manufacturers don’t go it alone. As the pace of demand for equipment – with an emphasis on the new and sophisticated – increases, companies are seeking suppliers who can deliver high quality on time and on budget with a minimum of handholding, said Greg Hebson, senior vice president of sales and marketing at the Staci Corp., a Florida-based company with a manufacturing network dedicated primarily to the fitness business. Fast turnaround is essential since the pace of product innovation has reached unprecedented levels.

“We’re seeing the kind of volumes that signal a nice, vertical market for us that is most definitely growing,” said Hebson.

Exercise equipment awaiting assembly at Star Trac.

Jiggle Belts to Juggernaut
Unfortunately, it’s not vertically that most of us seem to be growing. We may be a nation obsessed with fitness, but we’re also the fattest population on the planet. There’s a simple reason for that disconnect; exercise is work. If it weren’t, we wouldn’t need anything to entice us beyond health benefits.

Those of a certain vintage may remember the I Love Lucy episode when Ethel and Lucy wanted to get in shape. They went to a gym where they had a choice of a jiggle belt or a sweat box. Fifty years later, the choices are staggering. Product quality ranges from downright dangerous to luxurious and loaded. Do you want to play video games while you work out? You can do that. Or read, watch TV or DVDs, listen to your iPod, control your workout, monitor your vitals.

Two decades ago, the product turnover in a commercial gym was about 10 years. Now it’s more like three to four, experts say.

“Maybe you won’t see much change at a gym from one year to the next, but over five years, it’s amazing,” said May.

Those who will be successful are manufacturers of high quality, user-friendly equipment that makes exercise less of a chore, he said. Fitness equipment consumers are savvier these days. They’ve been trained to expect frequent changes and improvements from the industry. They are technology minded and perhaps have been burned before by buying bargain-basement equipment.

Sometimes, that’s literally true. A heavily advertised abdominal belt that claimed to work muscles by stimulating them with electric currents was banned from shelves a few years ago after the U.S. government found it was burning the skin of users to the blistering point, among other fairly horrifying things.

So, let the buyer beware in more ways than one. And be thankful people such as John Cook have got your back – and abs, legs and biceps.

Rapid Pace Of Change
Cook is director of industrial design at Star Trac, a commercial grade fitness equipment manufacturer in Irvine, California. He recently left BMW Designworks- USA, whose clients have ranged from John Deere to Mary Kay cosmetics, to work full time with Star Trac because he wanted to focus on fitness.

“At the end of the day, if I can say I encouraged some-one to exercise, to make them healthier, I feel great,” he said. “I know that sounds corny, but I have to say that’s the overall feeling around here.”Star Trac introduced a couple of new products annually as recently as five years ago. Now, they launch 50 to 60 in a year. Star Trac says its year-over-year sales have been increasing at 25 to 30 percent. Their treadmills run as high as $7,000, so they aren’t for the bargain minded.

As a private company, they don’t routinely release sales numbers, but they are said to be among the fastest growing fitness equipment companies in the country. Other front-running manufacturers trading in the high end include Vermont-based Concept2, credited with bringing rowing machines from boathouse to basement, giants ICON Fitness & Health (NordicTrack, Pro-Form), Nautilus Inc., Precor, and Tunturi of Finland, which started as a bicycle repair business in 1922 and now makes a broad range of high-end equipment.

Checking the control panel at Star Trec before assembly.

Star Trac Tough
All of Star Trac’s products are made to withstand the demands of the commercial market, which currently makes up 95 percent of its business. Some low-priced treadmills out there are designed to run about 100 hours; Star Trac’s are made to run 10,000, according to the company.

“It’s like designing a rental car. Everyone who uses it probably abuses it,” said Cook. “These things are always on and always in use. You have to have a piece of equipment to withstand that.” Star Trac begins its creative process by viewing potential customers in five exercise categories ranging from “not now and not ever” to “it’s an ingrained habit,” according to Terry Woods, director of commercial marketing for the company.

“The challenge is to move people along the spectrum. How should we do that? If people are at least thinking about exercise, we’ve got a chance with them,” said Woods.

Star Trac launches actual product development by gathering a team of designers and engineers together. Keeping the five types in mind and wielding some data from consumer and trend studies, they go to work imagining the new and better workout machine.

Engineer Mark Chiles, Star Trac’s cardio platforms manager, says merging art and science is a bit like making sausage – better not to see it done.

“Engineers and artists don’t always speak the same language. There’s a lot of back and forth. There’s some fighting sometimes,” he said.

Cook agreed.

“It’s almost like a game of Pictionary with people drawing and waving their hands all around. They’re passionate,” he said. “There are crazy, funny ideas like putting rotating knives in the back of a treadmill to keep people motivated, but it leads to creative thinking.”

The designers study color and material trends. Cook recently attended a major home furnishings show in Milan, Italy. They also study other products, such as garden tools, to learn what manufacturing methods such as hydro forming can do.

Baby Boomers Stretch, Shape Supply
A recent Star Trac success story involves the Baby Boomer market, which is by far the fastest growing demographic for health clubs and home fitness machines, according to industry statistics. The number of health club members 55 and over increased 387 percent from 1987 to 2007 to nearly 8 million.

Recumbent stationary bikes, said to be easier on aging backs and joints, are popular among Baby Boomers.

So, Star Trac went to clubs and watched hundreds of people get on and off the bikes. (They’re the sort of bikes that allow the user to recline a bit). They noticed people sometimes struggled to step over the bar to get on the machine. It was simply inconvenient for some, but a literal barrier for others.

“So, we split it. It’s open. Now, you can just walk right through ours and get on,” Cook said. Star Trac researchers also noted that more than 60 percent of people who rode recumbent bikes read books while using them, even when other entertainment options were available. In response, they created an adjustable reading station which extends toward the user and includes page clips. Armrests alleviate tension in the shoulders and allow for a more relaxed posture. There are multiple cup and accessory holders, and several places to put reading material.

“It’s all about providing creature comforts,” said Cook. “If you can get them to sit down and move their legs for 10 minutes, that’s great.”

Mark Chiles’ job is to keep Cook’s artists in the zone of the possible.

“Sometimes they go way out there and add on and add on,” said Chiles. “Manufacturability, obviously, is essential.”

A mechanical engineer, Chiles has five other engineers working with him to take a concept and turn it into a prototype. Star Trac has a full machine shop a step away from the engineering department. It is equipped with a Trak DPM-SX5 CNC bed mill and a Trak TRL 1840SX CNC lathe dedicated to making prototypes. The engineering shop also has a few older mills and lathes, along with all the other metalworking and welding equipment necessary to make complete prototypes of new fitness equipment. All of the company’s engineers have extensive machining and fabrication skills, he said.

“We can CAD or shop a prototype,” said Chiles. “We’re a prototype-intensive company.”

Once a product’s design is finalized, Chiles said, about 30 or 40 are produced and put in filed test clubs for 30 days with eight hours of continuous use.

“If we get a failure, we set the clock back and start again,” he said.

(The company also has an on-site test center employees call the “torture chamber” where machines are robotically put through their paces at extreme levels.)

View of Star Trec’s treadmill monitor. Readout and TV make the laps go easier.

U.S. Versus Offshore Suppliers
Chiles said Star Trac buys major subcomponents such as AC motors, running belts, treadmill decks, aluminum extrusions, wiring harnesses, keypads, motor controllers and display electronics from U.S. sources. The company also uses a number of local metal forming suppliers for some of the smaller parts in their assemblies and local distributors for bearings and fasteners.

Star Trac buys some parts off shore – usually low-tech, fabricated metal parts, or commodity items such as plastic wheels, connectors and some hardware items, Chiles said.

“Obviously, there are price pressures in our industry. However, we have to make certain everything we use meets our standards,” Chiles said.

Most of Star Trac’s heavy manufacturing is done by partners in Taiwan, Italy, and Mexico or at the company’s production facility in Irvine.

The Irvine headquarters has research and development laboratories (including the torture chamber), and administrative offices. A 55,000 square foot, state-of-the-art manufacturing plant has continuous-flow assembly lines, as well as electronic assembly, machine and weld shops.

Star Trac recently bought a gantry mill that in two minutes machines eight aluminum extrusions that form the main chassis of a treadmill. It replaces a two punch press operation and allows more flexibility in their manufacturing, Chiles said. The facility has room for a 300 percent increase in production, if necessary,

Out Of Order, Out Of Business
Star Trac’s Woods and Williams of Concept2 stress that sales, service, and generous warranties are key to retaining customers in the long run.

May said the point can’t be emphasized enough.“Nothing does more to damage a club’s reputation than to have out-of-order signs on its equipment. Not only is it inconvenient for members, it sends a general message of poor quality,” said May.

Somewhat surprisingly in these days of Everyday Low Prices, the cost of machines is becoming less of a consideration among health clubs and even consumers of home equipment.

“You want [equipment] to be easy to use, appealing and durable, and then probably comes price on the list,” May said.

He added that companies such as Star Trac and Concept2 have enormous power to seize an even bigger piece of the growing global and U.S. markets, as quality rises on the list of selling points.

“America has some of the highest quality products out there in our industry. American manufacturers have much value in the eyes of the global consumer,” said May.

What’s That Smell?
In a poem entitled “Adam’s Curse” by Irish writer W.B. Yeats, he muses, “It’s certain there is no fine things since Adam’s fall but needs much laboring.” Until someone comes up with a machine that will truly make us ft while sitting on the couch, plus provide the mental and emotional benefits of exercise, we’re going to have to sweat.

Kind of stinks, doesn’t it? For most of us, maybe. But to the U.S. fitness industry, it’s the sweet scent of success.

Interview with Tim Roby: President of the Chicago Convention and Tourism Bureau

Interview by Noah Graff

Today’s Machining World Archives June 2006 Volume 02 Issue 06

Tim Roby

Tim Roby is president of the Chicago Convention and Tourism Bureau. Previously, he served in senior sales and marketing positions with Kerzner International Resorts Inc., MGM Grand Hotel and Casino in Las Vegas and Hyatt Hotels and Resorts.

What does your job entail?
My job is to bring conventions into McCormick Place, to the city of Chicago and help the city and the state’s tourism.

What has research shown about peoples’ likes and dislikes about tradeshows in Chicago?
As far as Chicago is concerned, it’s easy air access, there’s drivable parking. We have 15 percent of the country’s population within a 300 mile radius. You’ve got the cultural aspects of Chicago—the museums, the restaurants. We have some of the best restaurants in the world.

What has your research shown that people dislike in Chicago?
They don’t like coming to a tradeshow in January.

Why do you think Chicago has fallen behind Vegas and Orlando for attracting tradeshows?
As far as Las Vegas is concerned, it’s a capacity issue. Las Vegas has 130,000 rooms, we have 30,000. And the aggregate of Las Vegas, when you add the Venetian and the Mandalay Bay and all the other properties to all of their convention space – they have a bigger glass to fill. Therefore, supply and demand make hotels more attractive from a pricing standpoint, maybe. But if you compare apples to apples, we’re in line with them.

What do you plan to do to compete with them?
We’re not going to compete with them. We’re not Las Vegas. We don’t want to be Las Vegas.

Do you already have big plans for McCormick Place’s new addition?
Yes. And it’s much different than just building a large exhibit hall. This is actually a meeting space. It’s what we call a breakout space. It’s very flexible, so organizations that require a lot of smaller meetings in addition to a trade show are being very attracted to this space. You don’t see this type of meeting space in conjunction with exhibit space anywhere else in the country.

Are you worried about trade shows leaving Chicago?
I don’t know if worry is the word. We’re very competitive. We’re adding services and enhancing our attendance building projects, which we do for most of our major customers. No other city can offer that service, and we’ve got a whole team that reaches out and finds new customers for tradeshows, and that’s one of the reasons you see record attendance here. Some people within our industry say McCormick Place is their least favorite venue for tradeshows. They say it’s expensive. They’re disenchanted with things like the food, the walking, and the parking.

How do you plan to make IMTS and other tradeshows a better experience?
That’s a great question. And in fact, I just came from a 3-hour meeting in which we were talking to our customers, and they gave us both positive and helpful feedback. And those are areas from both a service issue and a product issue that we will continue to improve upon.

What do you see as the future for Chicago attracting more tradeshows like IMTS?
Based on our booking pace, our future is very bright. The numbers I’ve seen through 2012 – our pace is up. We’re even more focused on the consumer and the customer, helping them increase tradeshow traffic and net square footage. That’s what it’s all about for them. They want results. So that’s what we’re focused on.

Easy Kakuro Puzzles 5-8

Using the digits 1 to 9, fill in the puzzle so that every row and column adds up to their corresponding numerical indicator. No number may repeat in any row or column.

More free Kakuro puzzles at puzzles.about.com

Are Women Taking Control of Everything?

By Lloyd Graff

When I wrote the blog a couple of weeks ago about Meg Whitman using her eBay wealth to win the Governorship of California while Rod Blagojevich defends his mastery of payoff culture in a Chicago courtroom, I was unconsciously touching a bigger theme—the rise of women in American life.

Hanna Rosin’s cover story in the current Atlantic—“The End of Men: How American Women are Taking Control of Everything”—brilliantly tells the story of the decline of men in 2010. Economically, this trend is related to the decline of manufacturing and construction. Current unemployment is heavily weighted toward males but the long range trends are even stronger than recession related layoffs.

Testosterone, physical strength and a gambling spirit, the traits that tamed the Old West, are not as highly valued in today’s world. Women are earning 60 percent of the college degrees now. Statistically men struggle more in school, and school is the gateway to advancement.

I think that the shift towards female dominance is less apparent in the machining world we inhabit, but I find women taking more of the purchasing agent roles. Men may still be making most of the stuff, but women are often signing the checks.

When Pierre Omidyar, founder of eBay, realized the business was getting too complicated for him to manage, his venture capital investors found Meg Whitman in Boston biding time as a consultant and brought her to San Jose to grow the business by harnessing the entrepreneurial fervor of mom and pop companies everywhere.

Meanwhile, Rod Blagojevich, who still can’t use a computer (see video below), was wheeling and dealing in the backroom of Chicago politics. His first big move was marrying a powerbroker’s daughter. He then joined the law firm of Eddie Vrdolyak, a famous fixer and Chicago dealmaker. He used his smile and big hair to charm the voters all the way to the top of the State. Very competitive, very male, very Chicago, very corrupt—our Rod.

Meg goes to Sacramento if she beats the old liberal pol—Jerry Brown, former governor of California from 1975-1983. Rod goes to prison if the wiretaps stick.

It’s getting tough to be a good ole boy.

Click to go to the Atlantic article

Question: Are women taking control of everything?

Next: In 5 years will cell phone service in the United States be free?

By Noah Graff

Today’s Machining World Archive Volume 4 Issue 05

Iphone 4G (Source: Apple.com)

Americans have quickly become accustomed to free Internet services from Google and Yahoo! and access to free newspapers on the Web, all funded by advertising. Cell phone service providers AT&T Inc., Verizon Wireless, and T-Mobile U.S.A. all recently began offering unlimited call time for around $100.00 per month.

In 5 years will cell phone service in the United States be free?

One of the big trends in mobile communications, especially with young people, is the shift away from voice to IM and text messaging. At least with this generation, voice is the secondary form of communication between them and their friends. At the same time, voice itself has started taking a back seat to data, especially in smart phones where email, text messaging and wireless Web access are becoming the primary applications on these devices.

However, voice is not completely going away any time soon. It will always be a form of communication on phones. But it will come bundled with many more applications and data services, and in essence, within five years, it will just be part of your service plan. Since voice usage is scaled back, it might look like it is free, but it will be included in the price of wireless mobile data and applications.

Tim Bajarin
President
Creative Strategies, Inc.

My answer is no, cell phone service will not be free in five years. Why would we believe that wireless services would be free when wired services are not? It costs billions of dollars to build and operate wireless networks and the amount of bandwidth available is both limited and must be shared between all wireless customers. There might be a transition to a combination of paid and advertising support networks but it will have only just started in five years. We will continue to pay a premium for wireless voice and data services over wired services because of the costs associated with the radio spectrum and the building and operation of the networks. Those who think that access to the Internet is free, therefore all communications are free, are only kidding themselves.

Andy Seybold
Wireless Technology Consultant
Andrew Seybold, Inc

No, but it’ll be a whole lot cheaper because:
1. Competition: So many people who need cell phones already have them, so at this point the carriers have to steal customers from each other – that will continue to drive prices down.
2. Technology: It’s reducing the cost per call. And new technology on the horizon will allow people to use their cell phones at home and carry the call over their home’s broadband network.
These “femtocells” will reduce carriers’ costs, ultimately yielding reduced charges for subscribers.
3. Data: The last frontier for carriers to raise revenues is data; web browsing, text messaging, mobile TV, etc. These services are highly profitable – carriers will likely reduce voice costs to entice people into using their data services.

In the meantime, users should be happy that they don’t have to purchase their service in Europe; it’s about double the cost we pay here.

Scott Goldman
Consultant
“The Wireless Wizard”

The Facts

It can cost anywhere between $500,000-$1,000,000 or more to build a cell site and carriers have hundreds, sometimes thou-sands of them, in metropolitan areas.

The cost to obtain a new “subscriber” can be as much as $800 for a carrier when expenses such as marketing, additional personnel and subsidization are factored in. Carriers don’t start making money until subscribers are well into their second year of service. Scott Goldman

www.thewirelesswizard.com

In the 1800s San Francisco saloons offered a gratis meal to any-one who ordered at least one beer. Recently rock icons, such as Radio Head and Trent Reznor of Nine Inch Nails, gave away their new albums for free. On the Internet, people take for granted services such as search (processing power), unlimited storage on Gmail and Yahoo! Mail, and bandwidth on YouTube.

Wired Magazine 16.03 “Free! Why $0.00 Is the Future of Business”

Wall Street analysts speculate that Sprint Nextel Corp. will soon undercut competitors, offering unlimited talk time for as low as $60 dollars a month.

The Pew Internet & American Life Project found in a survey that 73 percent of U.S. adults own a cell phone, 68 percent have a desktop computer, 30 percent possess a laptop, and 73 percent connect to the Internet. Thirty seven percent regularly use instant messaging, and 41 percent have sent a text message from a cell phone.

cnetnews.com

An interview with big rig driver Dominic Tramonte

Interview by Noah Graff

Today’s Machining World Archives March 2007 Volume 3 Issue 03

Dominic Tramonte

Dominic Tramonte has been an over-the-road truck driver for the last seven years, and an owner/operator of a Kenworth semi truck for the last two.

NG: What was your occupation prior to being a truck driver?
DT
: I have double master’s degree in engineering from the University of Texas. I was a fled engineer. I built a lot of chemical plants, office towers and prisons mostly. But I’m just too old to work 100 hour weeks anymore. I drive because don’t like to sit in an office and draw blueprints that other people get to go into the fled and build.

NG: Do you prefer sitting in a cab all day?
DT
: Yeah, that doesn’t bother me. I don’t work that hard. Every now and again I’ll put in a 12 or 14 hour day, but usually I only work five or six hours a day. The rest of the time, I put my feet up, read and play computer games.

NG: Which jobs make you the most money?
DT
: Oversized freight and freight that you’ve got a lot of time pressure on. I personally won’t load anything for less than about $1.50 a mile. The best job I got was for $6.00 a mile.

NG: How do you acquire freight jobs?
DT
: I have an agent who does the work for me, and I pay him 8 percent off the top. I’m leased to Dallas & Mavis, and use their authority to haul freight. They also get a percentage.

NG: If you could ask James Hoffa, head of the Teamsters one question, what would it be?
DT:
I know nothing about the Teamster Union life. I’m curious about what they’re buying with the money from the members. I’d like to know what the members have that I don’t. Don’t see that they have any greater job security. I don’t see them taking home better money. Maybe it’s the organization or political purposes. For me personally, I’m an owner/operator making my own decisions. When I screw up, don’t have anybody to point the figure at, and when I do well, I don’t have to pat anybody else on the back.

NG: What’s one of the most interesting things you’ve carried?
DT
: I once hauled a load from Boston to Huntsville, Alabama in a box trailer. It was one 8 by 11 manila envelope. I guess it was blueprints or something, and for some reason they didn’t send it UPS or FedEx. They closed the door, and they put four padlocks on the handles. Then they FedExed the keys to the guys who were on the receiving end of the envelope.

NG: Has anything frightened you about driving?
DT
: I drove an empty high-band trailer across the I-5 Bridge from Portland, Oregon, into Washington State across the Columbia River, and the wind was howling in off of the Pacific at about 100 miles an hour. I was half-way across that bridge, and a gust would come in and snatch my truck from the left-hand lane and rub it up against the guardrail. That was the longest three minutes I have ever spent in my entire life. When they police came they said, “That bridge has been closed to high profile traffic for 11 hours. Wasn’t there a cop on the other side that told you not to go?” I said, “No, you mean I risked my life like that for nothing?” He didn’t say a word. He just started laughing and walked back to his car and drove off. That’s the most frightened I’ve ever been driving a truck.

NG: What do you do to pass the time when you’re driving?
DT:
I think. It’s one of the reasons I love the job. I’m a private person, and I’m a thinker. It gives me hours and hours every day. And I just listen to the sound of the engine. That way I can hear the sirens and hear what the truck is doing.

NG: If you could be any machine, what would you be?
DT
: A CNC milling machine. You can do beautiful work with those.